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URY 烏拉圭春季聯賽 · 比賽 ·

彭尼路 vs 民族足球

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–12.22 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝48%
30%
客勝22%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝48% selection probability
Projected score1–1彭尼路民族足球
Expected goals2.22Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.562% for the selected side
雙方進球59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
48% / 30% / 22%比賽結果主勝48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 民族足球 win (22.3%)雙重機會1X77.7%1.29
大 38% · 小 62%Goals 2.562%1.61
是 41% · 否 59%雙方進球59%1.69
2.22 total expected goals正確比分1–1
9.5 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
彭尼路 win48%2.08
30%3.33
民族足球 win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

彭尼路1.49

主隊 share of expected goals 67.1%

Total expected goals2.22Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 38% · 62%

民族足球0.73

客隊 share of expected goals 32.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 41% · 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

彭尼路

2.60pts / match
5Wins4Drawn1Losses0積分13

Signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

客隊-context · form sequence

民族足球

1.20pts / match
5Wins2Drawn0Losses3積分6

Signal主隊 clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
贏 probability excluding draw
22%
13
Points from supplied form
6
1.49
Expected goals
0.73
彭尼路民族足球
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01彭尼路 signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02民族足球 signal主隊 clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

彭尼路 vs 民族足球 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

彭尼路 48%, 30%,民族足球 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.22 · 大2.5 38% · Current selection