Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
48% / 30% / 22%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Nacional De Football win (22.3%)Șansă dublă1X77.7%1.29
Peste 38% · Sub 62%Goals 2.5Sub62%1.61
Da 41% · Nu 59%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu59%1.69
2.22 total expected goalsScor corect1–1——
9.5 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Penarol win48%2.08
Egal30%3.33
Nacional De Football win22%4.55
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Gazde share of expected goals 67.1%
Total expected goals2.22Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Peste 38% · Sub 62%
Oaspeți share of expected goals 32.9%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 41% · Nu 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Gazde-context · form sequence
2.60pts / matchPenarol
DWWWW
Jucate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puncte13
SignalGazde unbeaten 5/5
Oaspeți-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchNacional De Football
WLLWL
Jucate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puncte6
SignalGazde clean sheets: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
48%
Câștig probability excluding draw
22%13
Points from supplied form
61.49
Expected goals
0.73PenarolNacional De Football
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 30%.
Match questions
Penarol vs Nacional De Football FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Penarol câștig 48%，Egal 30%，Nacional De Football câștig 22%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.22 · Peste 2.5 38% · Current selection Sub。