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BGR Bulgaria - Prima Liga · Meci ·

Botev Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–22.72 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde20%
Egal26%
Victorie oaspeți54%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți54% selection probability
Projected score1–2Botev PlovdivLevski Sofia
Expected goals2.72Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Peste51% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
20% / 26% / 54%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Botev Plovdiv win (19.6%)Șansă dublăX280.4%1.24
Peste 51% · Sub 49%Goals 2.5Peste51%1.96
Da 47% · Nu 53%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu53%1.89
2.72 total expected goalsScor corect1–2
9.0 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Botev Plovdiv win20%5.00
Egal26%3.85
Levski Sofia win54%1.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Botev Plovdiv0.79

Gazde share of expected goals 29%

Total expected goals2.72Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 51% · Sub 49%

Levski Sofia1.93

Oaspeți share of expected goals 71%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitDa 47% · Nu 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Botev Plovdiv

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puncte6

SignalGazde failed to score: 2/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Levski Sofia

3.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Puncte15

SignalOaspeți unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
20%
Câștig probability excluding draw
54%
6
Points from supplied form
15
0.79
Expected goals
1.93
Botev PlovdivLevski Sofia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Botev Plovdiv signalGazde failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Levski Sofia signalOaspeți unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Botev Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–2 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Botev Plovdiv câștig 20%,Egal 26%,Levski Sofia câștig 54%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.72 · Peste 2.5 51% · Current selection Peste