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BGR Bułgaria - 1. Liga · Mecz ·

Botew Płowdiw vs Levski Sofia

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–22.72 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy20%
Remis26%
Wygrana gości54%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości54% selection probability
Projected score1–2Botew PłowdiwLevski Sofia
Expected goals2.72Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej51% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
20% / 26% / 54%Wynik meczuWygrana gości54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Botew Płowdiw win (19.6%)Podwójna szansaX280.4%1.24
Powyżej 51% · Poniżej 49%Goals 2.5Powyżej51%1.96
Tak 47% · Nie 53%Obie drużyny strzeląNie53%1.89
2.72 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–2
9.0 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Botew Płowdiw win20%5.00
Remis26%3.85
Levski Sofia win54%1.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Botew Płowdiw0.79

Gospodarze share of expected goals 29%

Total expected goals2.72Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 51% · Poniżej 49%

Levski Sofia1.93

Goście share of expected goals 71%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitTak 47% · Nie 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Botew Płowdiw

1.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkty6

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Levski Sofia

3.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punkty15

SignalGoście unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
20%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
54%
6
Points from supplied form
15
0.79
Expected goals
1.93
Botew PłowdiwLevski Sofia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Botew Płowdiw signalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Levski Sofia signalGoście unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Botew Płowdiw vs Levski Sofia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–2 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Botew Płowdiw wygrana 20%,Remis 26%,Levski Sofia wygrana 54%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.72 · Powyżej 2.5 51% · Current selection Powyżej