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BGR Bułgaria - 1. Liga · Mecz ·

Spartak Varna vs Łudogorec Razgrad

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–22.85 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy14%
Remis23%
Wygrana gości62%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 62% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości62% selection probability
Projected score1–2Spartak VarnaŁudogorec Razgrad
Expected goals2.85Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej54% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie58% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
14% / 23% / 62%Wynik meczuWygrana gości62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Spartak Varna win (14.3%)Podwójna szansaX285.7%1.17
Powyżej 54% · Poniżej 46%Goals 2.5Powyżej54%1.85
Tak 42% · Nie 58%Obie drużyny strzeląNie58%1.72
2.85 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–2
8.9 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Spartak Varna win14%7.14
Remis23%4.35
Łudogorec Razgrad win62%1.61

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Spartak Varna0.62

Gospodarze share of expected goals 21.8%

Total expected goals2.85Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 54% · Poniżej 46%

Łudogorec Razgrad2.23

Goście share of expected goals 78.2%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitTak 42% · Nie 58%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Spartak Varna

1.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkty6

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Łudogorec Razgrad

2.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkty11

SignalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
14%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
62%
6
Points from supplied form
11
0.62
Expected goals
2.23
Spartak VarnaŁudogorec Razgrad
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Spartak Varna signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Łudogorec Razgrad signalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Spartak Varna vs Łudogorec Razgrad FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–2 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Spartak Varna wygrana 14%,Remis 23%,Łudogorec Razgrad wygrana 62%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.85 · Powyżej 2.5 54% · Current selection Powyżej