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BGR Βουλγαρία - Πρώτη Λίγκα · Αγώνας ·

Σπαρτάκ Βάρνα vs Λουντογκόρετς Ράζγκραντ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–22.85 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου14%
Ισοπαλία23%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου62%
Full model forecastΝίκη φιλοξενούμενουTier A · 62% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου62% selection probability
Projected score1–2Σπαρτάκ ΒάρναΛουντογκόρετς Ράζγκραντ
Expected goals2.85Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω54% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι58% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
14% / 23% / 62%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Σπαρτάκ Βάρνα win (14.3%)Διπλή ΕυκαιρίαX285.7%1.17
Άνω 54% · Κάτω 46%Goals 2.5Άνω54%1.85
Ναι 42% · Όχι 58%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι58%1.72
2.85 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–2
8.9 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Σπαρτάκ Βάρνα win14%7.14
Ισοπαλία23%4.35
Λουντογκόρετς Ράζγκραντ win62%1.61

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Σπαρτάκ Βάρνα0.62

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 21.8%

Total expected goals2.85Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 54% · Κάτω 46%

Λουντογκόρετς Ράζγκραντ2.23

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 78.2%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitΝαι 42% · Όχι 58%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Σπαρτάκ Βάρνα

1.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Πόντοι6

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Λουντογκόρετς Ράζγκραντ

2.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Πόντοι11

SignalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
14%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
62%
6
Points from supplied form
11
0.62
Expected goals
2.23
Σπαρτάκ ΒάρναΛουντογκόρετς Ράζγκραντ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Σπαρτάκ Βάρνα signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Λουντογκόρετς Ράζγκραντ signalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Σπαρτάκ Βάρνα vs Λουντογκόρετς Ράζγκραντ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου · Projected score 1–2 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Σπαρτάκ Βάρνα νίκη 14%,Ισοπαλία 23%,Λουντογκόρετς Ράζγκραντ νίκη 62%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.85 · Άνω 2.5 54% · Current selection Άνω