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CYP Κύπρος - 1η Κατηγορία · Αγώνας ·

ΑΕΛ Λεμεσού vs Ανόρθωση Αμμοχώστου

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–12.30 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου37%
Ισοπαλία31%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου32%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου37% selection probability
Projected score1–1ΑΕΛ ΛεμεσούΑνόρθωση Αμμοχώστου
Expected goals2.30Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω60% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
37% / 31% / 32%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.6%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1269.4%1.44
Άνω 40% · Κάτω 60%Goals 2.5Κάτω60%1.67
Ναι 47% · Όχι 53%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι53%1.89
2.30 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
8.5 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
ΑΕΛ Λεμεσού win37%2.70
Ισοπαλία31%3.23
Ανόρθωση Αμμοχώστου win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ΑΕΛ Λεμεσού1.23

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 53.5%

Total expected goals2.30Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 40% · Κάτω 60%

Ανόρθωση Αμμοχώστου1.07

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 46.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 47% · Όχι 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

ΑΕΛ Λεμεσού

2.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Πόντοι11

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Ανόρθωση Αμμοχώστου

1.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Πόντοι5

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
32%
11
Points from supplied form
5
1.23
Expected goals
1.07
ΑΕΛ ΛεμεσούΑνόρθωση Αμμοχώστου
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ΑΕΛ Λεμεσού signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ανόρθωση Αμμοχώστου signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

ΑΕΛ Λεμεσού vs Ανόρθωση Αμμοχώστου FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ΑΕΛ Λεμεσού νίκη 37%,Ισοπαλία 31%,Ανόρθωση Αμμοχώστου νίκη 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.30 · Άνω 2.5 40% · Current selection Κάτω