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CYP Chypre - 1re Division · Match ·

AEL Limassol vs Anorthosis Famagusta

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.30 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile37%
Nul31%
Victoire à l’extérieur32%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile37% selection probability
Projected score1–1AEL LimassolAnorthosis Famagusta
Expected goals2.30Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de60% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
37% / 31% / 32%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.6%)Double chance1269.4%1.44
Plus de 40% · Moins de 60%Goals 2.5Moins de60%1.67
Oui 47% · Non 53%Les deux équipes marquentNon53%1.89
2.30 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
8.5 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
AEL Limassol win37%2.70
Nul31%3.23
Anorthosis Famagusta win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AEL Limassol1.23

Domicile share of expected goals 53.5%

Total expected goals2.30Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 40% · Moins de 60%

Anorthosis Famagusta1.07

Extérieur share of expected goals 46.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 47% · Non 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

AEL Limassol

2.20pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Anorthosis Famagusta

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Gagné probability excluding draw
32%
11
Points from supplied form
5
1.23
Expected goals
1.07
AEL LimassolAnorthosis Famagusta
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AEL Limassol signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Anorthosis Famagusta signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

AEL Limassol vs Anorthosis Famagusta FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AEL Limassol victoire 37%,Nul 31%,Anorthosis Famagusta victoire 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.30 · Plus de 2.5 40% · Current selection Moins de