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CYP Cyprus Division 1 · Fixture ·

AEL Limassol vs Anorthosis Famagusta

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.30 expected goals
Away form
Home win37%
Draw31%
Away win32%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win37% selection probability
Projected score1–1AEL LimassolAnorthosis Famagusta
Expected goals2.30Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under60% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
37% / 31% / 32%Match resultHome win37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.6%)Double chance1269.4%1.44
Over 40% · Under 60%Goals 2.5Under60%1.67
Yes 47% · No 53%Both teams scoreNo53%1.89
2.30 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
AEL Limassol win37%2.70
Draw31%3.23
Anorthosis Famagusta win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AEL Limassol1.23

Home share of expected goals 53.5%

Total expected goals2.30Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 40% · Under 60%

Anorthosis Famagusta1.07

Away share of expected goals 46.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 47% · No 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

AEL Limassol

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Anorthosis Famagusta

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Win probability excluding draw
32%
11
Points from supplied form
5
1.23
Expected goals
1.07
AEL LimassolAnorthosis Famagusta
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AEL Limassol signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Anorthosis Famagusta signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

AEL Limassol vs Anorthosis Famagusta FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AEL Limassol win 37%,Draw 31%,Anorthosis Famagusta win 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.30 · Over 2.5 40% · Current selection Under