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CYP Cyprus Division 1 · Maç ·

AEL Limassol vs Anorthosis Famagusta

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–12.30 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır37%
Beraberlik31%
Deplasman kazanır32%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır37% selection probability
Projected score1–1AEL LimassolAnorthosis Famagusta
Expected goals2.30Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt60% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
37% / 31% / 32%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.6%)Çifte Şans1269.4%1.44
Üst 40% · Alt 60%Goals 2.5Alt60%1.67
Evet 47% · Hayır 53%Karşılıklı gol varHayır53%1.89
2.30 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
8.5 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
AEL Limassol win37%2.70
Beraberlik31%3.23
Anorthosis Famagusta win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AEL Limassol1.23

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 53.5%

Total expected goals2.30Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 40% · Alt 60%

Anorthosis Famagusta1.07

Deplasman share of expected goals 46.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 47% · Hayır 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

AEL Limassol

2.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puan11

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 5/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Anorthosis Famagusta

1.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puan5

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
32%
11
Points from supplied form
5
1.23
Expected goals
1.07
AEL LimassolAnorthosis Famagusta
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AEL Limassol signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Anorthosis Famagusta signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

AEL Limassol vs Anorthosis Famagusta FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AEL Limassol kazanç 37%,Beraberlik 31%,Anorthosis Famagusta kazanç 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.30 · 2.5 Üst 40% · Current selection Alt