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BGR Βουλγαρία - Πρώτη Λίγκα · Αγώνας ·

Μπότεφ Πλόβντιβ vs Λέφσκι Σόφιας

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–22.72 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου20%
Ισοπαλία26%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου54%
Full model forecastΝίκη φιλοξενούμενουTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου54% selection probability
Projected score1–2Μπότεφ ΠλόβντιβΛέφσκι Σόφιας
Expected goals2.72Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω51% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
20% / 26% / 54%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Μπότεφ Πλόβντιβ win (19.6%)Διπλή ΕυκαιρίαX280.4%1.24
Άνω 51% · Κάτω 49%Goals 2.5Άνω51%1.96
Ναι 47% · Όχι 53%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι53%1.89
2.72 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–2
9.0 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Μπότεφ Πλόβντιβ win20%5.00
Ισοπαλία26%3.85
Λέφσκι Σόφιας win54%1.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Μπότεφ Πλόβντιβ0.79

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 29%

Total expected goals2.72Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 51% · Κάτω 49%

Λέφσκι Σόφιας1.93

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 71%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitΝαι 47% · Όχι 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Μπότεφ Πλόβντιβ

1.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Πόντοι6

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Λέφσκι Σόφιας

3.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Πόντοι15

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
20%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
54%
6
Points from supplied form
15
0.79
Expected goals
1.93
Μπότεφ ΠλόβντιβΛέφσκι Σόφιας
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Μπότεφ Πλόβντιβ signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Λέφσκι Σόφιας signalΦιλοξενούμενος unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Μπότεφ Πλόβντιβ vs Λέφσκι Σόφιας FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου · Projected score 1–2 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Μπότεφ Πλόβντιβ νίκη 20%,Ισοπαλία 26%,Λέφσκι Σόφιας νίκη 54%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.72 · Άνω 2.5 51% · Current selection Άνω