MatchFormula Βρείτε αγώνα
Menu
UTC+8
Ζώνη ώραςAsia/Shanghai
Ελληνικά
BGR Βουλγαρία - Πρώτη Λίγκα · Αγώνας ·

ΤΣΣΚΑ Σόφιας vs Τσέρνο Μόρε Βάρνα

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–12.48 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου57%
Ισοπαλία26%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου17%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου57% selection probability
Projected score2–1ΤΣΣΚΑ ΣόφιαςΤσέρνο Μόρε Βάρνα
Expected goals2.48Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω55% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
57% / 26% / 17%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Τσέρνο Μόρε Βάρνα win (16.6%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X83.4%1.20
Άνω 45% · Κάτω 55%Goals 2.5Κάτω55%1.82
Ναι 39% · Όχι 61%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι61%1.64
2.48 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
8.9 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
ΤΣΣΚΑ Σόφιας win57%1.75
Ισοπαλία26%3.85
Τσέρνο Μόρε Βάρνα win17%5.88

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ΤΣΣΚΑ Σόφιας1.87

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 75.4%

Total expected goals2.48Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 45% · Κάτω 55%

Τσέρνο Μόρε Βάρνα0.61

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 24.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 39% · Όχι 61%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

ΤΣΣΚΑ Σόφιας

1.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Πόντοι9

SignalΓηπεδούχος won 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Τσέρνο Μόρε Βάρνα

0.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Πόντοι3

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
17%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.87
Expected goals
0.61
ΤΣΣΚΑ ΣόφιαςΤσέρνο Μόρε Βάρνα
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ΤΣΣΚΑ Σόφιας signalΓηπεδούχος won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Τσέρνο Μόρε Βάρνα signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

ΤΣΣΚΑ Σόφιας vs Τσέρνο Μόρε Βάρνα FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ΤΣΣΚΑ Σόφιας νίκη 57%,Ισοπαλία 26%,Τσέρνο Μόρε Βάρνα νίκη 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.48 · Άνω 2.5 45% · Current selection Κάτω