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BGR Bulharsko - 1. liga · Zápas ·

CSKA Sofie vs Cherno More Varna

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score2–12.48 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích57%
Remíza26%
Výhra hostů17%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích57% selection probability
Projected score2–1CSKA SofieCherno More Varna
Expected goals2.48Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Méně55% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
57% / 26% / 17%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cherno More Varna win (16.6%)Dvojitá šance1X83.4%1.20
Více 45% · Méně 55%Goals 2.5Méně55%1.82
Ano 39% · Ne 61%Oba týmy skórujíNe61%1.64
2.48 total expected goalsPřesné skóre2–1
8.9 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ne snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
CSKA Sofie win57%1.75
Remíza26%3.85
Cherno More Varna win17%5.88

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CSKA Sofie1.87

Domácí share of expected goals 75.4%

Total expected goals2.48Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Více 45% · Méně 55%

Cherno More Varna0.61

Hosté share of expected goals 24.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitAno 39% · Ne 61%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

CSKA Sofie

1.80pts / match
Odehráno5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Body9

SignalDomácí won 3/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Cherno More Varna

0.60pts / match
Odehráno5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Body3

SignalDomácí matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Výhra probability excluding draw
17%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.87
Expected goals
0.61
CSKA SofieCherno More Varna
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CSKA Sofie signalDomácí won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cherno More Varna signalDomácí matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

CSKA Sofie vs Cherno More Varna FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CSKA Sofie výhra 57%,Remíza 26%,Cherno More Varna výhra 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.48 · Více 2.5 45% · Current selection Méně