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BGR Bulgaaria kõrgliiga · Mäng ·

Sofia CSKA vs Varna Tšerno More

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score2–12.48 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit57%
Viik26%
Võõrsilvõit17%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit57% selection probability
Projected score2–1Sofia CSKAVarna Tšerno More
Expected goals2.48Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alla55% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
57% / 26% / 17%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Varna Tšerno More win (16.6%)Topeltvõimalus1X83.4%1.20
Üle 45% · Alla 55%Goals 2.5Alla55%1.82
Jah 39% · Ei 61%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi61%1.64
2.48 total expected goalsTäpne skoor2–1
8.9 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityÕiglane koefitsient
Sofia CSKA win57%1.75
Viik26%3.85
Varna Tšerno More win17%5.88

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sofia CSKA1.87

Kodu share of expected goals 75.4%

Total expected goals2.48Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üle 45% · Alla 55%

Varna Tšerno More0.61

Võõras share of expected goals 24.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJah 39% · Ei 61%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Sofia CSKA

1.80pts / match
Mängitud5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punktid9

SignalKodu won 3/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Varna Tšerno More

0.60pts / match
Mängitud5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punktid3

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Võit probability excluding draw
17%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.87
Expected goals
0.61
Sofia CSKAVarna Tšerno More
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sofia CSKA signalKodu won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Varna Tšerno More signalKodu matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Sofia CSKA vs Varna Tšerno More FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sofia CSKA võit 57%,Viik 26%,Varna Tšerno More võit 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.48 · Üle 2.5 45% · Current selection Alla