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BGR Болгария - Первая лига · Матч ·

Ботев Пловдив vs Левски София

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–22.72 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев20%
Ничья26%
Победа гостей54%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей54% selection probability
Projected score1–2Ботев ПловдивЛевски София
Expected goals2.72Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше51% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
20% / 26% / 54%Исход матчаПобеда гостей54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ботев Пловдив win (19.6%)Двойной шансX280.4%1.24
Больше 51% · Меньше 49%Goals 2.5Больше51%1.96
Да 47% · Нет 53%Обе забьютНет53%1.89
2.72 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–2
9.0 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Ботев Пловдив win20%5.00
Ничья26%3.85
Левски София win54%1.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ботев Пловдив0.79

Хозяева share of expected goals 29%

Total expected goals2.72Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 51% · Меньше 49%

Левски София1.93

Гости share of expected goals 71%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 47% · Нет 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Ботев Пловдив

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Левски София

3.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Баллы15

SignalГости unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
20%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
54%
6
Points from supplied form
15
0.79
Expected goals
1.93
Ботев ПловдивЛевски София
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ботев Пловдив signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Левски София signalГости unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Ботев Пловдив vs Левски София FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–2 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ботев Пловдив выигрыш 20%,Ничья 26%,Левски София выигрыш 54%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.72 · ТБ 2.5 51% · Current selection Больше