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EST Эстония - Мейстрилига · Матч ·

ФК Нарва-Транс vs ЖК Таммека Тарту

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.52 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев31%
Ничья29%
Победа гостей40%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей40% selection probability
Projected score1–1ФК Нарва-ТрансЖК Таммека Тарту
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше54% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
31% / 29% / 40%Исход матчаПобеда гостей40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.4%)Двойной шанс1270.6%1.42
Больше 46% · Меньше 54%Goals 2.5Меньше54%1.85
Да 51% · Нет 49%Обе забьютДа51%1.96
2.52 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
10.5 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
ФК Нарва-Транс win31%3.23
Ничья29%3.45
ЖК Таммека Тарту win40%2.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ФК Нарва-Транс1.12

Хозяева share of expected goals 44.4%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 46% · Меньше 54%

ЖК Таммека Тарту1.40

Гости share of expected goals 55.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 51% · Нет 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ФК Нарва-Транс

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ЖК Таммека Тарту

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
40%
7
Points from supplied form
9
1.12
Expected goals
1.40
ФК Нарва-ТрансЖК Таммека Тарту
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ФК Нарва-Транс signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ЖК Таммека Тарту signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

ФК Нарва-Транс vs ЖК Таммека Тарту FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ФК Нарва-Транс выигрыш 31%,Ничья 29%,ЖК Таммека Тарту выигрыш 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · ТБ 2.5 46% · Current selection Меньше