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EST Estonie - Meistriliiga · Match ·

JK Trans Narva vs JK Tammeka Tartu

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.52 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile31%
Nul29%
Victoire à l’extérieur40%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur40% selection probability
Projected score1–1JK Trans NarvaJK Tammeka Tartu
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de54% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
31% / 29% / 40%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.4%)Double chance1270.6%1.42
Plus de 46% · Moins de 54%Goals 2.5Moins de54%1.85
Oui 51% · Non 49%Les deux équipes marquentOui51%1.96
2.52 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
10.5 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
JK Trans Narva win31%3.23
Nul29%3.45
JK Tammeka Tartu win40%2.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JK Trans Narva1.12

Domicile share of expected goals 44.4%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 46% · Moins de 54%

JK Tammeka Tartu1.40

Extérieur share of expected goals 55.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 51% · Non 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

JK Trans Narva

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

JK Tammeka Tartu

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Gagné probability excluding draw
40%
7
Points from supplied form
9
1.12
Expected goals
1.40
JK Trans NarvaJK Tammeka Tartu
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JK Trans Narva signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JK Tammeka Tartu signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

JK Trans Narva vs JK Tammeka Tartu FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JK Trans Narva victoire 31%,Nul 29%,JK Tammeka Tartu victoire 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · Plus de 2.5 46% · Current selection Moins de