Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
48% / 30% / 22%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Club Nacional de Footbal win (22.3%)Double chance1X77.7%1.29
Plus de 38% · Moins de 62%Goals 2.5Moins de62%1.61
Oui 41% · Non 59%Les deux équipes marquentNon59%1.69
2.22 total expected goalsScore exact1–1——
9.5 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Penarol win48%2.08
Nul30%3.33
Club Nacional de Footbal win22%4.55
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Domicile share of expected goals 67.1%
Total expected goals2.22Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Plus de 38% · Moins de 62%
Extérieur share of expected goals 32.9%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 41% · Non 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Domicile-context · form sequence
2.60pts / matchPenarol
DWWWW
Joués5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13
SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5
Extérieur-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchClub Nacional de Footbal
WLLWL
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalDomicile clean sheets: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
48%
Gagné probability excluding draw
22%13
Points from supplied form
61.49
Expected goals
0.73PenarolClub Nacional de Footbal
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 30%.
Match questions
Penarol vs Club Nacional de Footbal FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Penarol victoire 48%，Nul 30%，Club Nacional de Footbal victoire 22%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.22 · Plus de 2.5 38% · Current selection Moins de。