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URY Uruguay - Clausura · Match ·

Cerro Largo vs Liverpool Montevideo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–22.50 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile26%
Nul30%
Victoire à l’extérieur44%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur44% selection probability
Projected score1–2Cerro LargoLiverpool Montevideo
Expected goals2.50Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de54% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
26% / 30% / 44%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cerro Largo win (26.1%)Double chanceX273.9%1.35
Plus de 46% · Moins de 54%Goals 2.5Moins de54%1.85
Oui 49% · Non 51%Les deux équipes marquentNon51%1.96
2.50 total expected goalsScore exact1–2
9.1 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapCerro Largo winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cerro Largo win26%3.853.4026.4%-0.4 pp
Nul30%3.333.0029.9%+0.1 pp
Liverpool Montevideo win44%2.272.0543.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cerro Largo0.94

Domicile share of expected goals 37.6%

Total expected goals2.50Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 46% · Moins de 54%

Liverpool Montevideo1.56

Extérieur share of expected goals 62.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitOui 49% · Non 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Cerro Largo

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Liverpool Montevideo

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Gagné probability excluding draw
44%
9
Points from supplied form
9
0.94
Expected goals
1.56
Cerro LargoLiverpool Montevideo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cerro Largo signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Liverpool Montevideo signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Cerro Largo vs Liverpool Montevideo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cerro Largo victoire 26%,Nul 30%,Liverpool Montevideo victoire 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.50 · Plus de 2.5 46% · Current selection Moins de