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URY Uruguay - Clausura · Match ·

Cerro Largo vs Liverpool Montevideo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–22.50 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger26%
Oavgjort30%
Bortaseger44%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger44% selection probability
Projected score1–2Cerro LargoLiverpool Montevideo
Expected goals2.50Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under54% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
26% / 30% / 44%MatchresultatBortaseger44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cerro Largo win (26.1%)DubbelchansX273.9%1.35
Över 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Ja 49% · Nej 51%Båda lagen gör målNej51%1.96
2.50 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
9.1 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapCerro Largo winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cerro Largo win26%3.853.4026.4%-0.4 pp
Oavgjort30%3.333.0029.9%+0.1 pp
Liverpool Montevideo win44%2.272.0543.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cerro Largo0.94

Hemma share of expected goals 37.6%

Total expected goals2.50Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 46% · Under 54%

Liverpool Montevideo1.56

Borta share of expected goals 62.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 49% · Nej 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Cerro Largo

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Poäng9

SignalHemma unbeaten 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Liverpool Montevideo

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
44%
9
Points from supplied form
9
0.94
Expected goals
1.56
Cerro LargoLiverpool Montevideo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cerro Largo signalHemma unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Liverpool Montevideo signalHemma matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Cerro Largo vs Liverpool Montevideo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cerro Largo vunnen 26%,Oavgjort 30%,Liverpool Montevideo vunnen 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.50 · Över 2.5 46% · Current selection Under