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URY Уругвай - Клаусура · Матч ·

Серро-Ларго vs Liverpool Montevideo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–22.50 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев26%
Ничья30%
Победа гостей44%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей44% selection probability
Projected score1–2Серро-ЛаргоLiverpool Montevideo
Expected goals2.50Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше54% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
26% / 30% / 44%Исход матчаПобеда гостей44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Серро-Ларго win (26.1%)Двойной шансX273.9%1.35
Больше 46% · Меньше 54%Goals 2.5Меньше54%1.85
Да 49% · Нет 51%Обе забьютНет51%1.96
2.50 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–2
9.1 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapСерро-Ларго winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Серро-Ларго win26%3.853.4026.4%-0.4 pp
Ничья30%3.333.0029.9%+0.1 pp
Liverpool Montevideo win44%2.272.0543.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Серро-Ларго0.94

Хозяева share of expected goals 37.6%

Total expected goals2.50Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 46% · Меньше 54%

Liverpool Montevideo1.56

Гости share of expected goals 62.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 49% · Нет 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Серро-Ларго

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Баллы9

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Liverpool Montevideo

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
44%
9
Points from supplied form
9
0.94
Expected goals
1.56
Серро-ЛаргоLiverpool Montevideo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Серро-Ларго signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Liverpool Montevideo signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Серро-Ларго vs Liverpool Montevideo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Серро-Ларго выигрыш 26%,Ничья 30%,Liverpool Montevideo выигрыш 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.50 · ТБ 2.5 46% · Current selection Меньше