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URY Uruguai - Clausura · Partida ·

Cerro Largo FC vs Liverpool Montevideo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–22.50 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa26%
Empate30%
Vitória visitante44%
Full model forecastVitória visitanteTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante44% selection probability
Projected score1–2Cerro Largo FCLiverpool Montevideo
Expected goals2.50Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo54% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
26% / 30% / 44%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cerro Largo FC win (26.1%)Dupla ChanceX273.9%1.35
Acima 46% · Abaixo 54%Goals 2.5Abaixo54%1.85
Sim 49% · Não 51%Ambas as equipes marcamNão51%1.96
2.50 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–2
9.1 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapCerro Largo FC winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cerro Largo FC win26%3.853.4026.4%-0.4 pp
Empate30%3.333.0029.9%+0.1 pp
Liverpool Montevideo win44%2.272.0543.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cerro Largo FC0.94

Mandante share of expected goals 37.6%

Total expected goals2.50Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 46% · Abaixo 54%

Liverpool Montevideo1.56

Visitante share of expected goals 62.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitSim 49% · Não 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Cerro Largo FC

1.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Pontos9

SignalMandante unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Liverpool Montevideo

1.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Pontos9

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
44%
9
Points from supplied form
9
0.94
Expected goals
1.56
Cerro Largo FCLiverpool Montevideo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cerro Largo FC signalMandante unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Liverpool Montevideo signalMandante matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Cerro Largo FC vs Liverpool Montevideo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 1–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cerro Largo FC ganhou 26%,Empate 30%,Liverpool Montevideo ganhou 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.50 · Acima 2.5 46% · Current selection Abaixo