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URY Uruguay Clausura · Maç ·

Cerro Largo vs Liverpool Montevideo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–22.50 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır26%
Beraberlik30%
Deplasman kazanır44%
Full model forecastDeplasman kazanırTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDeplasman kazanır44% selection probability
Projected score1–2Cerro LargoLiverpool Montevideo
Expected goals2.50Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alt54% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
26% / 30% / 44%Maç sonucuDeplasman kazanır44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cerro Largo win (26.1%)Çifte ŞansX273.9%1.35
Üst 46% · Alt 54%Goals 2.5Alt54%1.85
Evet 49% · Hayır 51%Karşılıklı gol varHayır51%1.96
2.50 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–2
9.1 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapCerro Largo winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cerro Largo win26%3.853.4026.4%-0.4 pp
Beraberlik30%3.333.0029.9%+0.1 pp
Liverpool Montevideo win44%2.272.0543.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cerro Largo0.94

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 37.6%

Total expected goals2.50Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 46% · Alt 54%

Liverpool Montevideo1.56

Deplasman share of expected goals 62.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitEvet 49% · Hayır 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Cerro Largo

1.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Puan9

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 5/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Liverpool Montevideo

1.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puan9

SignalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
44%
9
Points from supplied form
9
0.94
Expected goals
1.56
Cerro LargoLiverpool Montevideo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cerro Largo signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Liverpool Montevideo signalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Cerro Largo vs Liverpool Montevideo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Deplasman kazanır · Projected score 1–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cerro Largo kazanç 26%,Beraberlik 30%,Liverpool Montevideo kazanç 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.50 · 2.5 Üst 46% · Current selection Alt