Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
48% / 30% / 22%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Nacional De Football win (22.3%)Çifte Şans1X77.7%1.29
Üst 38% · Alt 62%Goals 2.5Alt62%1.61
Evet 41% · Hayır 59%Karşılıklı gol varHayır59%1.69
2.22 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1——
9.5 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
Penarol win48%2.08
Beraberlik30%3.33
Nacional De Football win22%4.55
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 67.1%
Total expected goals2.22Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Üst 38% · Alt 62%
Deplasman share of expected goals 32.9%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 41% · Hayır 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence
2.60pts / matchPenarol
DWWWW
Oynanan5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puan13
SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 5/5
Deplasman-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchNacional De Football
WLLWL
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puan6
SignalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
48%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
22%13
Points from supplied form
61.49
Expected goals
0.73PenarolNacional De Football
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 30%.
Match questions
Penarol vs Nacional De Football FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Penarol kazanç 48%，Beraberlik 30%，Nacional De Football kazanç 22%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.22 · 2.5 Üst 38% · Current selection Alt。