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Peñarol vs Nacional de Football

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score1–12.22 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit48%
Viik30%
Võõrsilvõit22%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit48% selection probability
Projected score1–1PeñarolNacional de Football
Expected goals2.22Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alla62% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
48% / 30% / 22%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Nacional de Football win (22.3%)Topeltvõimalus1X77.7%1.29
Üle 38% · Alla 62%Goals 2.5Alla62%1.61
Jah 41% · Ei 59%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi59%1.69
2.22 total expected goalsTäpne skoor1–1
9.5 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityÕiglane koefitsient
Peñarol win48%2.08
Viik30%3.33
Nacional de Football win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Peñarol1.49

Kodu share of expected goals 67.1%

Total expected goals2.22Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üle 38% · Alla 62%

Nacional de Football0.73

Võõras share of expected goals 32.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJah 41% · Ei 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Peñarol

2.60pts / match
Mängitud5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punktid13

SignalKodu unbeaten 5/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Nacional de Football

1.20pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punktid6

SignalKodu clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Võit probability excluding draw
22%
13
Points from supplied form
6
1.49
Expected goals
0.73
PeñarolNacional de Football
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Peñarol signalKodu unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Nacional de Football signalKodu clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Peñarol vs Nacional de Football FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Peñarol võit 48%,Viik 30%,Nacional de Football võit 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.22 · Üle 2.5 38% · Current selection Alla