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Penarol vs Nacional De Football

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score1–12.22 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng48%
Hòa30%
Đội khách thắng22%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng48% selection probability
Projected score1–1PenarolNacional De Football
Expected goals2.22Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Xỉu62% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
48% / 30% / 22%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Nacional De Football win (22.3%)Cơ hội kép1X77.7%1.29
Tài 38% · Xỉu 62%Goals 2.5Xỉu62%1.61
Có 41% · Không 59%Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông59%1.69
2.22 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác1–1
9.5 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Không snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityTỷ lệ công bằng
Penarol win48%2.08
Hòa30%3.33
Nacional De Football win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Penarol1.49

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 67.1%

Total expected goals2.22Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Tài 38% · Xỉu 62%

Nacional De Football0.73

Khách share of expected goals 32.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 41% · Không 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Penarol

2.60pts / match
Số trận5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Điểm13

SignalChủ nhà unbeaten 5/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Nacional De Football

1.20pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Điểm6

SignalChủ nhà clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Thắng probability excluding draw
22%
13
Points from supplied form
6
1.49
Expected goals
0.73
PenarolNacional De Football
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Penarol signalChủ nhà unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Nacional De Football signalChủ nhà clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Penarol vs Nacional De Football FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Penarol thắng 48%,Hòa 30%,Nacional De Football thắng 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.22 · Tài 2.5 38% · Current selection Xỉu