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URY Уругвай - Клаусура · Мач ·

Пенярол vs Насионал Де Футбол

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.22 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина48%
Равен30%
Победа за госта22%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина48% selection probability
Projected score1–1ПеняролНасионал Де Футбол
Expected goals2.22Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под62% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
48% / 30% / 22%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Насионал Де Футбол win (22.3%)Двоен шанс1X77.7%1.29
Над 38% · Под 62%Goals 2.5Под62%1.61
Да 41% · Не 59%И двата отбора да отбележатНе59%1.69
2.22 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.5 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Пенярол win48%2.08
Равен30%3.33
Насионал Де Футбол win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Пенярол1.49

Домакин share of expected goals 67.1%

Total expected goals2.22Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 38% · Под 62%

Насионал Де Футбол0.73

Гост share of expected goals 32.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 41% · Не 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Пенярол

2.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Точки13

SignalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Насионал Де Футбол

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Точки6

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
22%
13
Points from supplied form
6
1.49
Expected goals
0.73
ПеняролНасионал Де Футбол
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Пенярол signalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Насионал Де Футбол signalДомакин clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Пенярол vs Насионал Де Футбол FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Пенярол печеливш 48%,Равен 30%,Насионал Де Футбол печеливш 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.22 · Над 2.5 38% · Current selection Под