Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
Market選択確率フェアオッズ
48% / 30% / 22%試合結果ホーム勝利48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Nacional De Football win (22.3%)ダブルチャンス1X77.7%1.29
オーバー 38% · アンダー 62%Goals 2.5アンダー62%1.61
はい 41% · いいえ 59%両チーム得点いいえ59%1.69
2.22 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1——
9.5 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
Penarol win48%2.08
引き分け30%3.33
Nacional De Football win22%4.55
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
ホーム share of expected goals 67.1%
Total expected goals2.22Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: オーバー 38% · アンダー 62%
アウェイ share of expected goals 32.9%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 41% · いいえ 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
ホーム-context · form sequence
2.60pts / matchPenarol
DWWWW
試合数5Wins4Drawn1Losses0ポイント13
Signalホーム unbeaten 5/5
アウェイ-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchNacional De Football
WLLWL
試合数5Wins2Drawn0Losses3ポイント6
Signalホーム clean sheets: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
48%
勝ち probability excluding draw
22%13
Points from supplied form
61.49
Expected goals
0.73PenarolNacional De Football
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 30%.
Match questions
Penarol vs Nacional De Football FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Penarol 勝ち 48%，引き分け 30%，Nacional De Football 勝ち 22%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.22 · オーバー 2.5 38% · Current selection アンダー。