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URY Уругвай - Клаусура · Мач ·

Дефенсор Спортинг vs Монтевидео Сити Торке

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–22.60 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина17%
Равен26%
Победа за госта57%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта57% selection probability
Projected score1–2Дефенсор СпортингМонтевидео Сити Торке
Expected goals2.60Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под52% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
17% / 26% / 57%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Дефенсор Спортинг win (17%)Двоен шансX283%1.20
Над 48% · Под 52%Goals 2.5Под52%1.92
Да 42% · Не 58%И двата отбора да отбележатНе58%1.72
2.60 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–2
9.3 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Дефенсор Спортинг win17%5.88
Равен26%3.85
Монтевидео Сити Торке win57%1.75

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Дефенсор Спортинг0.66

Домакин share of expected goals 25.4%

Total expected goals2.60Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 48% · Под 52%

Монтевидео Сити Торке1.94

Гост share of expected goals 74.6%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 42% · Не 58%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Дефенсор Спортинг

0.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Точки2

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Монтевидео Сити Торке

2.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Точки13

SignalДомакин failed to score: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
17%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
57%
2
Points from supplied form
13
0.66
Expected goals
1.94
Дефенсор СпортингМонтевидео Сити Торке
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Дефенсор Спортинг signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Монтевидео Сити Торке signalДомакин failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Дефенсор Спортинг vs Монтевидео Сити Торке FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–2 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Дефенсор Спортинг печеливш 17%,Равен 26%,Монтевидео Сити Торке печеливш 57%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.60 · Над 2.5 48% · Current selection Под