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URY Uruguay - Clausura · Match ·

Defensor Sporting vs Montevideo City Torque

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–22.60 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger17%
Oavgjort26%
Bortaseger57%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger57% selection probability
Projected score1–2Defensor SportingMontevideo City Torque
Expected goals2.60Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under52% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
17% / 26% / 57%MatchresultatBortaseger57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Defensor Sporting win (17%)DubbelchansX283%1.20
Över 48% · Under 52%Goals 2.5Under52%1.92
Ja 42% · Nej 58%Båda lagen gör målNej58%1.72
2.60 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
9.3 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Defensor Sporting win17%5.88
Oavgjort26%3.85
Montevideo City Torque win57%1.75

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Defensor Sporting0.66

Hemma share of expected goals 25.4%

Total expected goals2.60Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 48% · Under 52%

Montevideo City Torque1.94

Borta share of expected goals 74.6%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 42% · Nej 58%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Defensor Sporting

0.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Poäng2

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Montevideo City Torque

2.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Poäng13

SignalHemma failed to score: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
17%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
57%
2
Points from supplied form
13
0.66
Expected goals
1.94
Defensor SportingMontevideo City Torque
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Defensor Sporting signalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Montevideo City Torque signalHemma failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Defensor Sporting vs Montevideo City Torque FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–2 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Defensor Sporting vunnen 17%,Oavgjort 26%,Montevideo City Torque vunnen 57%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.60 · Över 2.5 48% · Current selection Under