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Viking FK vs Ålesund

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score4–15.31 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger80%
Oavgjort12%
Bortaseger8%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 80% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger80% selection probability
Projected score4–1Viking FKÅlesund
Expected goals5.31Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över90% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa60% for the selected side
Expected corners11.5Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
80% / 12% / 8%MatchresultatHemmaseger80%1.25
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ålesund win (7.9%)Dubbelchans1X92.1%1.09
Över 90% · Under 10%Goals 2.5Över90%1.11
Ja 60% · Nej 40%Båda lagen gör målJa60%1.67
5.31 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat4–1
11.5 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Viking FK win80%1.25
Oavgjort12%8.33
Ålesund win8%12.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Viking FK4.39

Hemma share of expected goals 82.7%

Total expected goals5.31Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 90% · Under 10%

Ålesund0.92

Borta share of expected goals 17.3%

Projected score4–1BTTS splitJa 60% · Nej 40%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Viking FK

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Ålesund

0.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Poäng3

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
80%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
8%
10
Points from supplied form
3
4.39
Expected goals
0.92
Viking FKÅlesund
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Viking FK signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ålesund signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk20% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

Viking FK vs Ålesund FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 4–1 · 80% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Viking FK vunnen 80%,Oavgjort 12%,Ålesund vunnen 8%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.31 · Över 2.5 90% · Current selection Över