Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
80% / 12% / 8%Match resultHome win80%1.25
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Aalesund win (7.9%)Double chance1X92.1%1.09
Over 90% · Under 10%Goals 2.5Over90%1.11
Yes 60% · No 40%Both teams scoreYes60%1.67
5.31 total expected goalsCorrect score4–1——
11.5 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Viking FK win80%1.25
Draw12%8.33
Aalesund win8%12.50
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 82.7%
Total expected goals5.31Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 90% · Under 10%
Away share of expected goals 17.3%
Projected score4–1BTTS splitYes 60% · No 40%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchViking FK
LWWDW
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchAalesund
DDLDL
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
80%
Win probability excluding draw
8%10
Points from supplied form
34.39
Expected goals
0.92Viking FKAalesund
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 12%.
Match questions
Viking FK vs Aalesund FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 4–1 · 80% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Viking FK win 80%，Draw 12%，Aalesund win 8%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 5.31 · Over 2.5 90% · Current selection Over。