Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
55% / 25% / 20%Match resultHome win55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sarpsborg win (20.3%)Double chance1X79.7%1.25
Over 58% · Under 42%Goals 2.5Over58%1.72
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
3.01 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Tromso win55%1.82
Draw25%4.00
Sarpsborg win20%5.00
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 69.8%
Total expected goals3.01Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 58% · Under 42%
Away share of expected goals 30.2%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchTromso
DLWWW
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchSarpsborg
LLDWD
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
55%
Win probability excluding draw
20%10
Points from supplied form
52.10
Expected goals
0.91TromsoSarpsborg
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.
Match questions
Tromso vs Sarpsborg FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Tromso win 55%，Draw 25%，Sarpsborg win 20%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.01 · Over 2.5 58% · Current selection Over。