MatchFormula Spiel finden
Menu
UTC+8
ZeitzoneAsia/Shanghai
Deutsch
NOR Norway Eliteserien · Spiel ·

Tromsø vs Sarpsborg

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–13.01 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg55%
Unentschieden25%
Auswärtssieg20%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg55% selection probability
Projected score2–1TromsøSarpsborg
Expected goals3.01Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über58% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
55% / 25% / 20%SpielergebnisHeimsieg55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sarpsborg win (20.3%)Doppelte Chance1X79.7%1.25
Über 58% · Unter 42%Goals 2.5Über58%1.72
Ja 53% · Nein 47%Beide Teams treffenJa53%1.89
3.01 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
10.0 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Tromsø win55%1.82
Unentschieden25%4.00
Sarpsborg win20%5.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tromsø2.10

Heim share of expected goals 69.8%

Total expected goals3.01Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 58% · Unter 42%

Sarpsborg0.91

Auswärts share of expected goals 30.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nein 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Tromsø

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Sarpsborg

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
20%
10
Points from supplied form
5
2.10
Expected goals
0.91
TromsøSarpsborg
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tromsø signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sarpsborg signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Tromsø vs Sarpsborg FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Tromsø Gewinn 55%,Unentschieden 25%,Sarpsborg Gewinn 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.01 · Über 2.5 58% · Current selection Über