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Тромсьо vs Сарпсборг

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–13.01 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина55%
Равен25%
Победа за госта20%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина55% selection probability
Projected score2–1ТромсьоСарпсборг
Expected goals3.01Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над58% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
55% / 25% / 20%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Сарпсборг win (20.3%)Двоен шанс1X79.7%1.25
Над 58% · Под 42%Goals 2.5Над58%1.72
Да 53% · Не 47%И двата отбора да отбележатДа53%1.89
3.01 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
10.0 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Тромсьо win55%1.82
Равен25%4.00
Сарпсборг win20%5.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Тромсьо2.10

Домакин share of expected goals 69.8%

Total expected goals3.01Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 58% · Под 42%

Сарпсборг0.91

Гост share of expected goals 30.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 53% · Не 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Тромсьо

2.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Точки10

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Сарпсборг

1.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Точки5

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
20%
10
Points from supplied form
5
2.10
Expected goals
0.91
ТромсьоСарпсборг
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Тромсьо signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Сарпсборг signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Тромсьо vs Сарпсборг FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Тромсьо печеливш 55%,Равен 25%,Сарпсборг печеливш 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.01 · Над 2.5 58% · Current selection Над