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Tromso vs Sarpsborg

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–13.01 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy55%
Remis25%
Wygrana gości20%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy55% selection probability
Projected score2–1TromsoSarpsborg
Expected goals3.01Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej58% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
55% / 25% / 20%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sarpsborg win (20.3%)Podwójna szansa1X79.7%1.25
Powyżej 58% · Poniżej 42%Goals 2.5Powyżej58%1.72
Tak 53% · Nie 47%Obie drużyny strzeląTak53%1.89
3.01 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
10.0 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Tromso win55%1.82
Remis25%4.00
Sarpsborg win20%5.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tromso2.10

Gospodarze share of expected goals 69.8%

Total expected goals3.01Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 58% · Poniżej 42%

Sarpsborg0.91

Goście share of expected goals 30.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 53% · Nie 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Tromso

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkty10

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Sarpsborg

1.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkty5

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
20%
10
Points from supplied form
5
2.10
Expected goals
0.91
TromsoSarpsborg
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tromso signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sarpsborg signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Tromso vs Sarpsborg FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Tromso wygrana 55%,Remis 25%,Sarpsborg wygrana 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.01 · Powyżej 2.5 58% · Current selection Powyżej