Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
37% / 25% / 38%Match resultAway win38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.1%)Double chance1274.9%1.34
Over 74% · Under 26%Goals 2.5Over74%1.35
Yes 73% · No 27%Both teams scoreYes73%1.37
3.85 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2——
11.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Valerenga win37%2.70
Draw25%4.00
Molde win38%2.63
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 49.9%
Total expected goals3.85Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 74% · Under 26%
Away share of expected goals 50.1%
Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 73% · No 27%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchValerenga
DLLWW
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchMolde
WLDWL
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalAway matches over 2.5: 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
37%
Win probability excluding draw
38%7
Points from supplied form
71.92
Expected goals
1.93ValerengaMolde
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.
Match questions
Valerenga vs Molde FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Valerenga win 37%，Draw 25%，Molde win 38%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.85 · Over 2.5 74% · Current selection Over。