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Valerenga vs Molde

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–23.85 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile37%
Nul25%
Victoire à l’extérieur38%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur38% selection probability
Projected score2–2ValerengaMolde
Expected goals3.85Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de74% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui73% for the selected side
Expected corners11.0Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
37% / 25% / 38%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.1%)Double chance1274.9%1.34
Plus de 74% · Moins de 26%Goals 2.5Plus de74%1.35
Oui 73% · Non 27%Les deux équipes marquentOui73%1.37
3.85 total expected goalsScore exact2–2
11.0 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Valerenga win37%2.70
Nul25%4.00
Molde win38%2.63

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Valerenga1.92

Domicile share of expected goals 49.9%

Total expected goals3.85Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 74% · Moins de 26%

Molde1.93

Extérieur share of expected goals 50.1%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitOui 73% · Non 27%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Valerenga

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Molde

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Gagné probability excluding draw
38%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.92
Expected goals
1.93
ValerengaMolde
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Valerenga signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Molde signalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Valerenga vs Molde FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Valerenga victoire 37%,Nul 25%,Molde victoire 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.85 · Plus de 2.5 74% · Current selection Plus de