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NOR Norway Eliteserien · Meci ·

Valerenga vs Molde

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–23.85 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde37%
Egal25%
Victorie oaspeți38%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți38% selection probability
Projected score2–2ValerengaMolde
Expected goals3.85Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste74% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa73% for the selected side
Expected corners11.0Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
37% / 25% / 38%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.1%)Șansă dublă1274.9%1.34
Peste 74% · Sub 26%Goals 2.5Peste74%1.35
Da 73% · Nu 27%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa73%1.37
3.85 total expected goalsScor corect2–2
11.0 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Valerenga win37%2.70
Egal25%4.00
Molde win38%2.63

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Valerenga1.92

Gazde share of expected goals 49.9%

Total expected goals3.85Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 74% · Sub 26%

Molde1.93

Oaspeți share of expected goals 50.1%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitDa 73% · Nu 27%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Valerenga

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Molde

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Câștig probability excluding draw
38%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.92
Expected goals
1.93
ValerengaMolde
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Valerenga signalGazde matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Molde signalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Valerenga vs Molde FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Valerenga câștig 37%,Egal 25%,Molde câștig 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.85 · Peste 2.5 74% · Current selection Peste