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Viking FK vs Aalesund

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score4–15.31 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde80%
Egal12%
Victorie oaspeți8%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 80% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde80% selection probability
Projected score4–1Viking FKAalesund
Expected goals5.31Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste90% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa60% for the selected side
Expected corners11.5Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
80% / 12% / 8%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde80%1.25
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Aalesund win (7.9%)Șansă dublă1X92.1%1.09
Peste 90% · Sub 10%Goals 2.5Peste90%1.11
Da 60% · Nu 40%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa60%1.67
5.31 total expected goalsScor corect4–1
11.5 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Viking FK win80%1.25
Egal12%8.33
Aalesund win8%12.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Viking FK4.39

Gazde share of expected goals 82.7%

Total expected goals5.31Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 90% · Sub 10%

Aalesund0.92

Oaspeți share of expected goals 17.3%

Projected score4–1BTTS splitDa 60% · Nu 40%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Viking FK

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Aalesund

0.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Puncte3

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
80%
Câștig probability excluding draw
8%
10
Points from supplied form
3
4.39
Expected goals
0.92
Viking FKAalesund
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Viking FK signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Aalesund signalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk20% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

Viking FK vs Aalesund FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 4–1 · 80% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Viking FK câștig 80%,Egal 12%,Aalesund câștig 8%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.31 · Peste 2.5 90% · Current selection Peste