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Viking vs Aalesund

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score4–15.31 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa80%
Pareggio12%
Vittoria ospite8%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 80% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa80% selection probability
Projected score4–1VikingAalesund
Expected goals5.31Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra90% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano60% for the selected side
Expected corners11.5Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
80% / 12% / 8%Esito partitaVittoria casa80%1.25
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Aalesund win (7.9%)Doppia Chance1X92.1%1.09
Sopra 90% · Sotto 10%Goals 2.5Sopra90%1.11
Sì 60% · No 40%Entrambe le squadre segnano60%1.67
5.31 total expected goalsRisultato esatto4–1
11.5 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Viking win80%1.25
Pareggio12%8.33
Aalesund win8%12.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Viking4.39

Casa share of expected goals 82.7%

Total expected goals5.31Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 90% · Sotto 10%

Aalesund0.92

Trasferta share of expected goals 17.3%

Projected score4–1BTTS split 60% · No 40%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Viking

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Aalesund

0.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punti3

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
80%
Vinta probability excluding draw
8%
10
Points from supplied form
3
4.39
Expected goals
0.92
VikingAalesund
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Viking signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Aalesund signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk20% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

Viking vs Aalesund FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 4–1 · 80% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Viking vinta 80%,Pareggio 12%,Aalesund vinta 8%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.31 · Sopra 2.5 90% · Current selection Sopra