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Viking vs Aalesunds FK

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score4–15.31 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier80%
Uavgjort12%
Borteseier8%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 80% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier80% selection probability
Projected score4–1VikingAalesunds FK
Expected goals5.31Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over90% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa60% for the selected side
Expected corners11.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
80% / 12% / 8%KampresultatHjemmeseier80%1.25
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Aalesunds FK win (7.9%)Dobbel sjanse1X92.1%1.09
Over 90% · Under 10%Goals 2.5Over90%1.11
Ja 60% · Nei 40%Begge lag scorerJa60%1.67
5.31 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat4–1
11.5 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
Viking win80%1.25
Uavgjort12%8.33
Aalesunds FK win8%12.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Viking4.39

Hjemme share of expected goals 82.7%

Total expected goals5.31Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 90% · Under 10%

Aalesunds FK0.92

Borte share of expected goals 17.3%

Projected score4–1BTTS splitJa 60% · Nei 40%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Viking

2.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poeng10

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Aalesunds FK

0.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Poeng3

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
80%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
8%
10
Points from supplied form
3
4.39
Expected goals
0.92
VikingAalesunds FK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Viking signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Aalesunds FK signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk20% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

Viking vs Aalesunds FK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 4–1 · 80% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Viking vunnet 80%,Uavgjort 12%,Aalesunds FK vunnet 8%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.31 · Over 2.5 90% · Current selection Over