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Vålerenga vs Molde

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–23.85 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier37%
Uavgjort25%
Borteseier38%
Full model forecastBorteseierTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBorteseier38% selection probability
Projected score2–2VålerengaMolde
Expected goals3.85Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over74% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa73% for the selected side
Expected corners11.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
37% / 25% / 38%KampresultatBorteseier38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.1%)Dobbel sjanse1274.9%1.34
Over 74% · Under 26%Goals 2.5Over74%1.35
Ja 73% · Nei 27%Begge lag scorerJa73%1.37
3.85 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–2
11.0 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
Vålerenga win37%2.70
Uavgjort25%4.00
Molde win38%2.63

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Vålerenga1.92

Hjemme share of expected goals 49.9%

Total expected goals3.85Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 74% · Under 26%

Molde1.93

Borte share of expected goals 50.1%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 73% · Nei 27%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Vålerenga

1.40pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poeng7

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Molde

1.40pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poeng7

SignalBorte matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
38%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.92
Expected goals
1.93
VålerengaMolde
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Vålerenga signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Molde signalBorte matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Vålerenga vs Molde FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Borteseier · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Vålerenga vunnet 37%,Uavgjort 25%,Molde vunnet 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.85 · Over 2.5 74% · Current selection Over