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INT Португалия - Лига 3 · Матч ·

Спортинг Ковильян vs UD Santarem

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–11.73 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев29%
Ничья34%
Победа гостей37%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Спортинг КовильянUD Santarem
Expected goals1.73Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше75% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
29% / 34% / 37%Исход матчаПобеда гостей37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Спортинг Ковильян win (28.7%)Двойной шансX271.3%1.40
Больше 25% · Меньше 75%Goals 2.5Меньше75%1.33
Да 33% · Нет 67%Обе забьютНет67%1.49
1.73 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
10.2 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Спортинг Ковильян win29%3.45
Ничья34%2.94
UD Santarem win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Спортинг Ковильян0.75

Хозяева share of expected goals 43.4%

Total expected goals1.73Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 25% · Меньше 75%

UD Santarem0.98

Гости share of expected goals 56.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 33% · Нет 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Спортинг Ковильян

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

UD Santarem

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Баллы4

SignalГости unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
37%
8
Points from supplied form
4
0.75
Expected goals
0.98
Спортинг КовильянUD Santarem
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Спортинг Ковильян signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UD Santarem signalГости unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Спортинг Ковильян vs UD Santarem FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Спортинг Ковильян выигрыш 29%,Ничья 34%,UD Santarem выигрыш 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.73 · ТБ 2.5 25% · Current selection Меньше