Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
29% / 34% / 37%KampresultatUdesejr37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sporting Covilha win (28.7%)DobbeltchanceX271.3%1.40
Over 25% · Under 75%Goals 2.5Under75%1.33
Ja 33% · Nej 67%Begge hold scorerNej67%1.49
1.73 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1——
10.2 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Sporting Covilha win29%3.45
Uafgjort34%2.94
UD Santarem win37%2.70
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Hjemme share of expected goals 43.4%
Total expected goals1.73Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 25% · Under 75%
Ude share of expected goals 56.6%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 33% · Nej 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Hjemme-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchSporting Covilha
DDLWW
Spillet5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Point8
SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5
Ude-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchUD Santarem
DDLDD
Spillet5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Point4
SignalUde unbeaten 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
29%
Vundet probability excluding draw
37%8
Points from supplied form
40.75
Expected goals
0.98Sporting CovilhaUD Santarem
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 34%.
Match questions
Sporting Covilha vs UD Santarem FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Sporting Covilha vundet 29%，Uafgjort 34%，UD Santarem vundet 37%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.73 · Over 2.5 25% · Current selection Under。