MatchFormula Maç bul
Menu
UTC+8
Saat dilimiAsia/Shanghai
Türkçe
INT Portugal Liga 3 · Maç ·

Sporting Covilha vs UD Santarem

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–11.73 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır29%
Beraberlik34%
Deplasman kazanır37%
Full model forecastDeplasman kazanırTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDeplasman kazanır37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sporting CovilhaUD Santarem
Expected goals1.73Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt75% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
29% / 34% / 37%Maç sonucuDeplasman kazanır37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sporting Covilha win (28.7%)Çifte ŞansX271.3%1.40
Üst 25% · Alt 75%Goals 2.5Alt75%1.33
Evet 33% · Hayır 67%Karşılıklı gol varHayır67%1.49
1.73 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
10.2 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
Sporting Covilha win29%3.45
Beraberlik34%2.94
UD Santarem win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sporting Covilha0.75

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 43.4%

Total expected goals1.73Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 25% · Alt 75%

UD Santarem0.98

Deplasman share of expected goals 56.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 33% · Hayır 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Sporting Covilha

1.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puan8

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

UD Santarem

0.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Puan4

SignalDeplasman unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
37%
8
Points from supplied form
4
0.75
Expected goals
0.98
Sporting CovilhaUD Santarem
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sporting Covilha signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UD Santarem signalDeplasman unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Sporting Covilha vs UD Santarem FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Deplasman kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sporting Covilha kazanç 29%,Beraberlik 34%,UD Santarem kazanç 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.73 · 2.5 Üst 25% · Current selection Alt