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INT Πορτογαλία - Λίγκα 3 · Αγώνας ·

Σπόρτινγκ Κοβίλια vs UD Σανταρεμ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–11.73 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου29%
Ισοπαλία34%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου37%
Full model forecastΝίκη φιλοξενούμενουTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Σπόρτινγκ ΚοβίλιαUD Σανταρεμ
Expected goals1.73Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω75% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
29% / 34% / 37%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Σπόρτινγκ Κοβίλια win (28.7%)Διπλή ΕυκαιρίαX271.3%1.40
Άνω 25% · Κάτω 75%Goals 2.5Κάτω75%1.33
Ναι 33% · Όχι 67%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι67%1.49
1.73 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
10.2 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Σπόρτινγκ Κοβίλια win29%3.45
Ισοπαλία34%2.94
UD Σανταρεμ win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Σπόρτινγκ Κοβίλια0.75

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 43.4%

Total expected goals1.73Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 25% · Κάτω 75%

UD Σανταρεμ0.98

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 56.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 33% · Όχι 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Σπόρτινγκ Κοβίλια

1.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Πόντοι8

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

UD Σανταρεμ

0.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Πόντοι4

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
37%
8
Points from supplied form
4
0.75
Expected goals
0.98
Σπόρτινγκ ΚοβίλιαUD Σανταρεμ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Σπόρτινγκ Κοβίλια signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UD Σανταρεμ signalΦιλοξενούμενος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Σπόρτινγκ Κοβίλια vs UD Σανταρεμ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Σπόρτινγκ Κοβίλια νίκη 29%,Ισοπαλία 34%,UD Σανταρεμ νίκη 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.73 · Άνω 2.5 25% · Current selection Κάτω