Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
29% / 34% / 37%Esito partitaVittoria ospite37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sporting Covilha win (28.7%)Doppia ChanceX271.3%1.40
Sopra 25% · Sotto 75%Goals 2.5Sotto75%1.33
Sì 33% · No 67%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo67%1.49
1.73 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1——
10.2 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Sporting Covilha win29%3.45
Pareggio34%2.94
UD Santarem win37%2.70
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Casa share of expected goals 43.4%
Total expected goals1.73Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Sopra 25% · Sotto 75%
Trasferta share of expected goals 56.6%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitSì 33% · No 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Casa-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchSporting Covilha
DDLWW
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8
SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5
Trasferta-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchUD Santarem
DDLDD
Giocate5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Punti4
SignalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
29%
Vinta probability excluding draw
37%8
Points from supplied form
40.75
Expected goals
0.98Sporting CovilhaUD Santarem
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 34%.
Match questions
Sporting Covilha vs UD Santarem FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Sporting Covilha vinta 29%，Pareggio 34%，UD Santarem vinta 37%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.73 · Sopra 2.5 25% · Current selection Sotto。