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INT 葡萄牙乙級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

士砵亭高維拿 vs UD Santarem

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–11.73 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝29%
34%
客勝37%
Full model forecast客勝Tier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call客勝37% selection probability
Projected score1–1士砵亭高維拿UD Santarem
Expected goals1.73Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.575% for the selected side
雙方進球67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
29% / 34% / 37%比賽結果客勝37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 士砵亭高維拿 win (28.7%)雙重機會X271.3%1.40
大 25% · 小 75%Goals 2.575%1.33
是 33% · 否 67%雙方進球67%1.49
1.73 total expected goals正確比分1–1
10.2 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
士砵亭高維拿 win29%3.45
34%2.94
UD Santarem win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

士砵亭高維拿0.75

主隊 share of expected goals 43.4%

Total expected goals1.73Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 25% · 75%

UD Santarem0.98

客隊 share of expected goals 56.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 33% · 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

士砵亭高維拿

1.60pts / match
5Wins2Drawn2Losses1積分8

Signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

UD Santarem

0.80pts / match
5Wins0Drawn4Losses1積分4

Signal客隊 unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
贏 probability excluding draw
37%
8
Points from supplied form
4
0.75
Expected goals
0.98
士砵亭高維拿UD Santarem
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01士砵亭高維拿 signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UD Santarem signal客隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

士砵亭高維拿 vs UD Santarem FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 客勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

士砵亭高維拿 29%, 34%,UD Santarem 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.73 · 大2.5 25% · Current selection