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INT Portugali Liga 3 · Mäng ·

Sporting Covilha vs UD Santarem

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score1–11.72 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit29%
Viik34%
Võõrsilvõit37%
Full model forecastVõõrsilvõitTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVõõrsilvõit37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sporting CovilhaUD Santarem
Expected goals1.72Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alla75% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Üle 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
29% / 34% / 37%Mängu tulemusVõõrsilvõit37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sporting Covilha win (28.8%)TopeltvõimalusX271.2%1.40
Üle 25% · Alla 75%Goals 2.5Alla75%1.33
Jah 33% · Ei 67%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi67%1.49
1.72 total expected goalsTäpne skoor1–1
10.2 expected match cornersNurgalöögidÜle 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityÕiglane koefitsient
Sporting Covilha win29%3.45
Viik34%2.94
UD Santarem win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sporting Covilha0.75

Kodu share of expected goals 43.6%

Total expected goals1.72Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üle 25% · Alla 75%

UD Santarem0.97

Võõras share of expected goals 56.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJah 33% · Ei 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Sporting Covilha

1.60pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punktid8

SignalKodu unbeaten 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

UD Santarem

0.80pts / match
Mängitud5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Punktid4

SignalVõõras unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Võit probability excluding draw
37%
8
Points from supplied form
4
0.75
Expected goals
0.97
Sporting CovilhaUD Santarem
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sporting Covilha signalKodu unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UD Santarem signalVõõras unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Sporting Covilha vs UD Santarem FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Võõrsilvõit · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sporting Covilha võit 29%,Viik 34%,UD Santarem võit 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.72 · Üle 2.5 25% · Current selection Alla